Pre-tourney Rankings
George Mason
Atlantic 10
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#196
Expected Predictive Rating-1.4#185
Pace69.9#180
Improvement-0.9#220

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#229
First Shot-5.3#311
After Offensive Rebound+2.9#17
Layup/Dunks-2.0#270
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#88
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#312
Freethrows-0.7#230
Improvement+2.0#87

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#170
First Shot-0.2#174
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#122
Layups/Dunks+2.4#79
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#340
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#172
Freethrows+1.6#68
Improvement-2.9#313
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 256   Colgate L 53-66 74%     0 - 1 -21.8 -24.7 +2.5
  Nov 16, 2015 190   @ Mercer L 60-69 38%     0 - 2 -7.9 -9.0 +0.4
  Nov 19, 2015 67   Mississippi W 68-62 17%     1 - 2 +14.1 +1.3 +13.1
  Nov 20, 2015 82   Oklahoma St. W 71-68 OT 20%     2 - 2 +9.8 +2.3 +7.4
  Nov 22, 2015 4   Virginia L 66-83 3%     2 - 3 +2.7 +9.1 -8.2
  Nov 25, 2015 239   @ Manhattan L 67-69 49%     2 - 4 -3.7 -7.0 +3.3
  Nov 28, 2015 145   Wright St. W 66-39 48%     3 - 4 +25.3 -0.1 +27.4
  Dec 02, 2015 140   @ Towson L 54-75 26%     3 - 5 -16.3 -12.4 -5.7
  Dec 05, 2015 245   Penn W 63-44 71%     4 - 5 +11.3 -5.4 +18.9
  Dec 08, 2015 80   Northern Iowa L 65-73 28%     4 - 6 -3.9 -0.7 -3.7
  Dec 12, 2015 97   @ James Madison L 46-69 16%     4 - 7 -14.4 -20.3 +5.4
  Dec 19, 2015 291   Longwood W 75-70 81%     5 - 7 -6.5 -4.4 -2.1
  Dec 22, 2015 199   Wagner W 71-60 62%     6 - 7 +5.9 -0.9 +6.9
  Jan 02, 2016 35   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 47-71 7%     6 - 8 0 - 1 -9.4 -16.7 +7.1
  Jan 06, 2016 83   St. Bonaventure L 58-77 28%     6 - 9 0 - 2 -15.1 -13.6 -2.2
  Jan 09, 2016 105   @ Davidson L 75-81 18%     6 - 10 0 - 3 +1.8 -0.7 +2.6
  Jan 13, 2016 44   Saint Joseph's L 73-87 18%     6 - 11 0 - 4 -6.3 -2.5 -3.0
  Jan 17, 2016 211   @ Saint Louis W 92-79 43%     7 - 11 1 - 4 +12.7 +17.2 -5.2
  Jan 20, 2016 148   @ Fordham L 62-73 28%     7 - 12 1 - 5 -7.1 -5.6 -1.8
  Jan 22, 2016 151   Duquesne L 75-86 50%     7 - 13 1 - 6 -13.1 -5.9 -6.2
  Jan 31, 2016 72   George Washington L 70-76 25%     7 - 14 1 - 7 -1.2 -5.7 +4.8
  Feb 03, 2016 103   @ Richmond W 78-74 17%     8 - 14 2 - 7 +11.9 +3.2 +8.6
  Feb 06, 2016 58   Dayton L 64-98 21%     8 - 15 2 - 8 -27.5 -2.3 -25.4
  Feb 09, 2016 90   @ Rhode Island L 63-81 15%     8 - 16 2 - 9 -8.8 -1.4 -8.3
  Feb 13, 2016 105   Davidson W 60-59 35%     9 - 16 3 - 9 +3.0 -12.3 +15.3
  Feb 17, 2016 211   Saint Louis L 77-79 OT 65%     9 - 17 3 - 10 -8.2 -2.1 -5.9
  Feb 21, 2016 162   @ Massachusetts L 64-70 31%     9 - 18 3 - 11 -3.1 -6.3 +3.3
  Feb 24, 2016 35   Virginia Commonwealth W 76-69 15%     10 - 18 4 - 11 +15.8 +6.5 +9.1
  Feb 27, 2016 250   @ La Salle L 68-76 52%     10 - 19 4 - 12 -10.5 -8.3 -1.8
  Mar 01, 2016 72   @ George Washington L 52-74 12%     10 - 20 4 - 13 -11.3 -14.8 +2.5
  Mar 05, 2016 103   Richmond W 83-73 34%     11 - 20 5 - 13 +12.1 +4.7 +7.1
  Mar 09, 2016 211   Saint Louis L 78-83 54%     11 - 21 -8.2 +2.0 -10.0
Projected Record 11.0 - 21.0 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%